ChatGPT vs Claude vs Gemini (as of October 2026)
As of October 2026, Nate B. Jones's case is that asking which model is best is the wrong question. Google's Argon tops a leaderboard, yet almost no one can use it. He used OpenAI's ChatGPT and its Dots tool to model his scattered subscriptions. The better question is fit: Anthropic builds for enterprise, OpenAI for enterprise plus consumers.
Key points
- As of October 2026, Nate B. Jones says he can't yet see how Google's Argon model serves Google's existing customers in compute, search and Gemini, and he asks Google to release it and show why it's more useful than the current Gemini model.
- He wants Google and other new players to succeed, because he thinks more players generally make AI safer and better for consumers, and he sees room for many winners across the use cases of 8 billion people.
- He uses ChatGPT's Dots for complex jobs he can hand off over time, such as sorting more than 20,000 likes and bookmarks on his X account into a book list that had reached 741 books, and Meta's Muse when speed and acting on the web matter, such as cancelling subscriptions.
- He expects Anthropic's rumored Fable 5.5 to work for enterprises whether or not it leads the leaderboards, because solving enterprise problems is what Anthropic is obsessed with.
- In August 2026 he described moving daily between Codex, Grok and Claude. He called Claude the best one out there for design, though it tends to get stuck in clays and maroon reds, said Grok needs extra source checks because it moves fast, and said he hadn't been using Gemini lately because it became a rubber stamp.
- In his April 2026 tests, GPT-5.5 scored 87.3 on an executive-package task against 67.0 for Claude Opus 4.7 and 49.8 for Gemini 3.1 Pro, while Opus 4.7 built the stronger visuals in a 3D build.
Google's Gemini Argon Is #1 On A Leaderboard. It Hasn't Passed The Benchmark That Matters. · Watch on YouTube
Chapters
- 00:00 Benchmarks are dead
- 00:30 Which customers each AI lab serves
- 02:14 Making money when the model keeps changing
- 03:52 Running my subscriptions through dots and Muse
- 06:05 741 books from 20,000 likes and bookmarks
- 07:05 Room for many AI winners
- 08:09 Build something you would want to use
- 09:23 The tyranny of the chatbot
- 10:45 A parent, a toy, and Muse
- 12:55 26 agent use cases in three months
- 13:34 The product experience is the bottleneck
- 14:45 Rumored Fable 5.5 and Anthropic's enterprise focus
Questions
Is Claude still better than ChatGPT?
In August 2026, Nate called Claude the best one out there for design work, though he often hates its first two or three design iterations. In October 2026 he described using ChatGPT's Dots for complex jobs he can hand off over time. In April 2026 he called GPT-5.5 the strongest model in the world and his first call for complex multi-step work, though Claude Opus 4.7 built the stronger visuals in his tests.
Is Claude still better than Gemini?
In August 2026, Nate said he hadn't been using Gemini lately because it became a rubber stamp that kept approving instead of challenging him, while Claude stayed in his daily rotation for design. He added that this doesn't make every Gemini model useless. In his April 2026 executive-package test, Claude Opus 4.7 scored 67.0 to Gemini 3.1 Pro's 49.8.
Which AI is stronger than Claude?
In April 2026, Nate called GPT-5.5 the strongest model in the world, though Opus 4.7 still had the edge in visual composition. As of October 2026, he says Google's Argon sits on top of a leaderboard, but almost no one can use it, so no one can say whether it's useful.
Full transcript
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Transcript
You can stop reading those AI leaderboards. I promise you, you’re not going to miss out. Benchmarks are dead. Google’s new model Argon sits on top of one, and almost no one can use it right now.
So, no one can tell you whether it’s actually useful. The AI that is winning right now is AI that is built by people who obsessively use it and fix what breaks. That’s the new benchmark, customer obsession. And it’s the same test for the AI that your company is building.
Right now, if you go through the different labs and the different models out there, we see a really clear map of lab to customer except for one instance. So, I’m going to go through. Anthropic, they focus on enterprise. They focus on how you can professionally use AI to succeed. OpenAI, they have a growing enterprise arm, and they also have a very, very big consumer play. If you look over at Meta, Meta is deep on consumer, and Muses the latest AI release there, and their whole motion, their whole push from Zuck is all about AI for consumers.
What about Google? Well, Google makes a ton of money from compute. Google obviously serves a lot of people with search, and Google has Gemini. What I don’t understand is how Argon supports those use cases. Why do we need that kind of cutting-edge model? And that got me thinking about the importance of having tight customer-product relationships in the age of AI.
And that customer obsession is something I would love to see more of from Google because I’m someone who thinks that the world is better off with more AI, not less. And especially in a world where we’re talking about powerful AI, you want that power in the hands of more people, not less. So, if you’re one of those people who’s worried about AI, and you’re like, “I don’t know that I trust Anthropic. I don’t know that I trust OpenAI. I want other players.” Well, you want another player in the game?
Great. Let’s have Google in the game, too. I would love there to be more players because I think that more players, generally speaking, make things safer and better for us consumers.
So, I want Google to succeed. And I say this with love, but I don’t yet see how Argon is connecting with customers. And I think that that leads me to some larger questions for all of us. If you work at a company, this is for you. If you work in enterprise and leadership, this is for you.
You need to understand, in a world where intelligence is evolving every single week, how do you make money with AI? And especially, how do you make money with AI when the underlying model you’re using is probably going to keep evolving? You know, when I was in product, for a long time, we would just release software. And the software that we released, we could update it, you know, once a month, once every 2 months, and we would have a road map, and that’s great. I don’t know that road maps work anymore. I think a lot of us in product would say they don’t.
And the larger problem is that you have to build a product with an evolving intelligence underneath that also needs to help users understand what is actually going to happen to their worlds as AI changes in a good way, not in a doomer way. That’s a really tall order. It’s a tough product challenge. It’s a challenge that literally a trillion dollars is getting thrown at right now. But if you don’t start with understanding who your customer is and what they’re doing, you’re not going to get very far.
If you think about this Benchmark news, the Benchmark news doesn’t matter. Let’s peel that back. Let’s look at what’s underneath. I think the best AI products are being built by people who obsessively use them and notice what goes wrong and who make those failures matter. And this is a business discipline as much as it’s an engineering discipline.
And I want to share an example because I ran into a very practical use case when I was using AI myself. So, I shared a few weeks ago that I used Muse to review my personal subscriptions, and I talked about that in earlier video. But, I wasn’t satisfied with stopping there because I also have business subscriptions, and the same problem existed across more than one part of my life. And the information was scattered across lots of different accounts and lots of different services.
So, on a plane flight that I took recently, I went further. I used ChatGPT’s Dots tool to connect to all of the different sources I needed. I could connect to a Mercury, I could connect to other financial uh sources, and I could have OpenAI’s built connectors help me bring all of my subscription material together along with email to double-check it, and I could use Dots to process all of that information and to build me a financial model of subscriptions across both personal and business all in one place, which I never seen before. Afterward, I could take that spreadsheet and feed it to Muse and have Muse be like my hunter-killer drone. Like, Muse went through and helped me action against all of those subscriptions and make good decisions against it. Partly because Muse is faster than Dots right now.
Partly because Muse is able to really use that speed to navigate the web and get things done directly. So, I can just delegate stuff like a cancellation. I actually had someone reach out to me when I shared that I was doing this and say, “Why would you use Muse to do that? You can literally click through and do it yourself.” And I said, “Yeah, I can, but it’s awfully nice when I am strapped for time to be able to hand a job to an AI and have it just get done.”
And so, when we’re talking about customers and we’re talking about what matters, I use that story because I think it illustrates the importance of actually using the AI. And when I use Dots and I use Muse, I see where the AI sings and where it doesn’t by trying it out in products like that. So, Dots is a little bit slower than Muse. Dots is very, very good with connectors. Dots can hold a lot of information and put it together coherently. And I find that I use both.
I find that I lean into Dots where I need complex work done over time and I can just hand it off. Right now, Dots is working through literally more than 20,000 likes and bookmarks on my X account and chewing through them and finding all of the individual ones where I liked or bookmarked a post about a book because I want to have one place for a book list cuz I love to read where I can go back and pick a book off. And I’ve never been able to do that before because the job was too big and required too much analysis. And Dots is taking a matter of days to process through that quietly and is up to 741 books that I’m sure it will update in a few minutes, but it’s up to 741 books that it has processed through.
So, what I am sharing with you is the customer experience that comes when you use an AI and push it and discover how it works. And what businesses need to do more of is they need to use the products that they are selling so that they are confident in the specific use cases that work or don’t work. I think there’s room for a lot of winners in AI and I don’t think we need to be complaining about good agent utility that works. If it works and the agent does the job, then for some number of us, it will be really helpful. There are 8 billion people on this planet. We have a lot of different use cases and there’s a lot of room for agents to solve that.
And when we look at the world that way, one, I think it leads me back to where I started, which is this idea that we need more players in AI, like Google, but beyond Google. Players who can bring AI into the customer’s hands in a way that’s relatable. I really am optimistic for builders right now and for people who are in companies with existing customer relationships. We are in a world where building for customers has never been more important because we are all facing the uncertainty around AI together. There’s no place to run from it. Everyone has to be an AI expert now and everyone isn’t prepared for that, but we’re all expected to be that in various ways.
And so this is our chance when we are looking at our individual spaces, our individual domains to actually sit down and say, “How can I build something that I would want to use in this space that evolves with AI as AI evolves and that is really, really useful to particular customers.” And your customers could be anybody. Like I saw an example recently of a new product that’s out that really focuses on using AI image recognition. And it’s a very simplified product to allow kids to go on forest walks and they can actually recognize the trees and plants around them. I don’t know how that will do, but I loved it because as a parent, I want kids to be able to find out about what’s around them, keep them plugged in to the world that they’re living in, not have them have too much screen time, and still have the benefits of AI.
And so that’s an example of a product that got thought through for parents, that got thought through for kids. We need more products like that. We need more people who are thinking about where AI can go and how AI can deliver useful solutions. And I don’t know that all of them will work, but I do know that a lot more room is out there than I think we realize.
I think we are trapped in the tyranny of the chatbot. We’ve seen ChatGPT get to what, 1.2 billion users right now? Every other product since then has in some sense borrowed from that original design philosophy. It has taken the idea that is ChatGPT and said, “Well, now we’re going to add a toolbar. Now we’re going to add a place for artifacts.” We are just at the beginning of figuring out what AI means, and we need wider design sense.
We need more sympathy and understanding for customers. And so when I think about Argon, and I know that it had great benchmarks, the first thing I think about is where in Google’s surface does it appear and for what customers does it appear? And that’s why I’m asking Google, please release it. Please share it. I want it to succeed. Does it go in search?
Does it go in Gemini? Why does it go in Gemini? Where does it succeed in Gemini? Why is it more useful than the current Gemini model? What is it about Argon that makes it sing? And that’s just one example.
I think we need more customer obsession, and we need more customer optimism in AI. I think so often right now the doomer discourse that’s coming is keeping us from being hopeful for our customers. It’s keeping us from being hopeful for what intelligence can do if intelligence is everywhere.
There was someone that I was talking to over the weekend who used Muse to help figure out what is the right approach with a kid who had an accident with a toy in their eye. The kid is fine, the eye is fine, don’t worry about it. But they wanted to talk to someone who is there who could give them perspective, and they know that Muse is not a doctor, but they needed some perspective in the moment. I found myself talking to AI when I need perspective in the moment, too. Not because I’m forming some kind of weird parasocial relationship with the AI, but because having it there helps me to think out loud and think better. In other words, I can think of so many specific use cases where AI effectively extends my ability to remember, extends my ability to think, extends my ability to understand what is happening.
And I see that happening in individual moments like the doctor moment with my friends. And it happens more when we obsess over the customer. One of the things that my friend was sending me is she sent a little screenshot of the Muse text, which she noticed that Muse thought about how her son was feeling. Hey, your son probably had a hard time. They probably don’t need a lecture from you about toys right now. They’re going to be okay, but you just need to give them a minute.
It’s a model that actually had a moment of delight, a moment in a difficult emotional moment where the parent is worried, the kid is worried, and this AI finds a way to walk the line, to not give medical advice, but also to have some empathy. That’s customer obsession. That’s something that we need more of.
When I think about the future of AI, and I think about why I am hopeful for builders in this moment, those are the kinds of stories I think about. We have enough stories about benchmarks. We have enough stories about researchers that are breaking the edge of the frontier.
We have enough stories about the Navier-Stokes equation and all of the math. Do you notice I don’t cover a ton of the math breakthroughs on this channel? That’s on purpose. I don’t think for a lot of us it makes sense. I think it makes more sense to talk about how we are actually able to use AI for daily stuff.
I actually compiled a list today of all of the different things I’ve used agents for. It came to 26 separate use cases in just the last 3 months. Stuff around tax preparation, stuff around travel planning, stuff around figuring out kids’ school schedules, stuff around understanding medical history, all of this different stuff that I had just found because I was digging in and trying to sort of offload more and more and more of the complexity so I could focus on what matters.
I know that it’s not perfect yet. And partly in 2024 and 2025, the imperfection came from the models. More and more and more as I think about it, the imperfection in our AI experiences, the pain points, it’s not coming from the models. It’s coming from the product experience.
This video is being made because I think the models aren’t the bottleneck anymore. I think the benchmarks are not the bottleneck anymore. The product experience, the customer obsession is the bottleneck right now. And I don’t see as many examples as I would like to of truly customer obsessed AI experiences, and I would like to see more.
By the way, if you know of some that I have not mentioned in this video, and I know there’s a lot of startups out there. There are a lot of people who are looking for customer obsessed experiences. There’s people who are innovating. Instinct, another AI startup, just launched group chat with AI, so you can throw an Instinct into your group chat with your friends, and Instinct can help coordinate the next, you know, time you get together, the next time you see a movie, the next time you have dinner, where you have dinner, all of that stuff. We’ll see if that takes on, but at least it’s a pitch for a particular kind of customer used case. We need more of those.
I would like to hear from you where you see those examples working because I think it’s really, really important. And as I talk about benchmarks, there are rumors that Fable 5.5 is about to drop. Rumors that say it’s an incredible model. I’ve certainly seen amazing things on Twitter. We all see amazing things on Twitter. Not all of them are true.
Fable 5.5 may or may not lead the leaderboards, but what it will do is it will work for enterprises. How do I know that? How do I have a lot of confidence in that? Because that is what Anthropic is obsessed with. They are obsessed with solving problems for enterprises. And Fable 5.5 will be another weapon in their arsenal to deliver extraordinary value to enterprises because that’s what the entire company is obsessed with right now.
And yes, they’re obsessed with delivering a better model, but they have that business model context and that customer obsession. I will, of course, do a full Fable 5.5 review, but I won’t do it because it topped a leaderboard. I’ll do it because of the value that it’s bringing to customers. That’s really what I care about.
And so, if you see this and you’re like, “Where’s Fable 5.5?” that’s where it is. That it’s coming. I’m going to have the review, and that’s why I’m going to cover it, not because of what it what it scores on the leaderboards. The next year in AI is going to be a year of product, not a year of benchmarks.
Related from Nate
- Your customers won't ask for Gemini 4 Argon. Their best AI product idea probably isn't in their feature requests either. Four questions surface the work they gave up on. full breakdown in Nate's Substack (paid)
- How I Fight AI Brain Rot. Friction Maxxing With Codex, Grok And Claude.
- GPT-5.5 vs Claude vs Gemini: The Real Difference Nobody's Talking About
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